It is a gamble with a chance of at least 31%. It is a random man, picked from anywhere in our God given country. It is not "very specific to statistical contexts", you likely meet multiple rapists every day without knowing. It's not like all the rapists are huddled up in Mobile, Alabama. In the city, in the suburbs, wherever you meet people, you will meet people who are willing to sexually assault a woman regularly.
That's what you don't understand by not being a woman or by not knowing the experiences of women. You don't know how much you are required to fear the men around you to survive.