brbposting , 13 days ago

Until the systems develop a sense of ‘truth’ beyond numerical statistics, generative ai is pretty much a toy.

I'll start by saying I am pro-worker, pro-99%, pro-human.

Now, I must refute your assertion for specific domains (and specific working styles), e.g. translation (or a preference for editing over drafting/coding from a blank page). If money used to hit your bank account every two weeks because you translated or provided customer service for a company, and now that money doesn't come in anymore, it wouldn't feel too playful or like a toy is involved.

This is today, not "until" any future milestone.

Re-sharing some screenshots I took a month or so back, below.

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November 2022: ChatGPT is released

April 2024 survey: 40% of translators have lost income to generative AI - The Guardian

https://sh.itjust.works/pictrs/image/0ed74394-61b0-4dce-9a1a-b8fa7aa86478.jpeg

Also of note from the podcast Hard Fork:

https://sh.itjust.works/pictrs/image/45cc9402-35ba-46c8-86f9-a21b240eb8a2.jpeg

There’s a client you would fire… if copywriting jobs weren’t harder to come by these days as well.

Customer service impact, last October:

https://sh.itjust.works/pictrs/image/5f1b7393-3e9d-43ba-ac75-7b7240101c55.jpeg

And this past February - potential 700 employee impact at a single company:

https://sh.itjust.works/pictrs/image/34949849-7deb-4030-be23-97fa136d538e.jpeg

If you’re technical, the tech isn’t as interesting [yet]:

https://sh.itjust.works/pictrs/image/b6655635-c31e-4969-bbbf-249579129562.jpeg

Overall, costs down, capabilities up (neat demos):

https://sh.itjust.works/pictrs/image/140a257d-3242-4011-a8dc-9168afffeebe.jpeg

Hope everyone reading this keeps up their skillsets and fights for Universal Basic Income for the rest of humanity :)