I've never wanted to be wrong about anything more than WW3...
But I keep seeing all these articles that make it really look like WW3 is right around the corner...
Like, the entire point of SSBNs is to hide and no one knows where they are. Popping up just to flex is not a good sign. It's trading the actual point of their existence (no one knows where our nukes are) for a show of force.
It's not a rational choice to do this, Russia knows we have SSBNs all over the globe, they don't need to actually see one and know where it is
I've been paying attention for decades, hell, I was in the military. I definitely paid more attention to geopolitics back then. Because even idle threats and shows of force directly effected my life.
Shits not how it used to be. It's a lot worse now. And people ignoring it just makes it keep getting worse.
And don't dismiss that they'd kill to know the location of a SSBN at any time under normal conditions.
Like, I don't know how high of a federal clearance you e ever gotten, but literally everything about a SSBNs schedule is at least secret. The people on them don't even know where they are 99% of the time.
Russia isn't shooting down a nuke anyways, it doesn't matter where it's coming from, it's hitting what it's aimed.
It's literally an intercontinental ballistic missile...
America isn't even confident we could shoot one of NK's down. We could launch from a SSBN literally on the other side of the planet and absolutely nothing would stop it from hitting Moscow.
We gave up valuable intelligence for literally zero reason.
It shows that we're irrational for doing it. Or even worse, that we thought Russia is so irrational that they needed to see it. Making both of us irrational.
The entire reason SSBNs are the threat they are, is you can only beat a ICBM by taking it out before it launches, and no one has a clue where the SSBNs are.
When were acting rational and want a show of force. We park an LHD or even Aircraft Carrier squadron off a coast.
Edit:
Like, if Russia happened to have sonar going in that area, and they just saw it surface...
They can compare sound signatures of that time period and may possibly isolate the distinctive sound of a SSBN. Something they've been trying to find for decades and could possibly lead to them being able to find SSBNs out in the wild.
This is a god awful decision that has potentially huge ramifications...
I get people wouldn't know about all of this, but that doesn't mean it's not a big deal.
Israel and Hezbollah have been exchanging rocket fire, and Israel is talking about a ground invasion.
Hezbollah has a defense treaty with Iran, Iraq, Russia, and another ME country I'm blanking on.
If Israel invaded Lebanon in an attack on Hezbollah, that draws in Russia, and likely NK.
Israel and Russia are the two countries invading others that I believe are the primary drivers towards WW3. NK is just a long for the ride until/unless they launch an attack on SK.
But I think before that happens, we'll solidly be in WW3. I think NK is onboard now, with the promise to be backed against SK later. No one is attack NK unless NK starts some shit, they don't need a defense treaty.
Israel has acknowledged some military strikes on humanitarian workers, including an April attack that killed seven workers with the World Central Kitchen and has denied allegations of others.
So Israel doesn't want any aid to Gaza...
Have killed aid workers multiple times...
And now aid workers are being pulled because Israel keeps killing them.
Sounds like the UN is negotiating with a terrorist state.
Chikli has since led a targeted push to counter critics of Israel. The Guardian has uncovered evidence showing how Israel has relaunched a controversial entity as part of a broader public relations campaign to target US college campuses and redefine antisemitism in US law.
Seconds after a smoke alarm subsided during the hearing, Chikli assured the lawmakers that there was new money in the budget for a pushback campaign, which was separate from more traditional public relations and paid advertising content produced by the government. It included 80 programs already under way for advocacy efforts “to be done in the ‘Concert’ way”, he said.
The “Concert” remark referred to a sprawling relaunch of a controversial Israeli government program initially known as Kela Shlomo, designed to carry out what Israel called “mass consciousness activities” targeted largely at the US and Europe. Concert, now known as Voices of Israel, previously worked with groups spearheading a campaign to pass so-called “anti-BDS” state laws that penalize Americans for engaging in boycotts or other non-violent protests of Israel.
In the middle of all the propaganda and lobbying, there's no rational reason to ignore that a foreign government is interfering with American politics for their own gain
It's fucked when Russia does it.
It's fucked when Israel does it.
And as long as we keep electing politicians who take the money, nothing will change.
Israel is just smart enough to buy off both parties.
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But my mom was born dirt poor. Like, the Beverly Hillbillies looked rich in the intro before they struck oil poor. Didn't have indoor plumbing till she was a teenager poor. Dinner was what her older brothers shoot after school poor.
She made it to small town middle class. I moved to a city and I'm "city middle class" which is practically non existent these days. It's all subjective. If I moved back to the hill I'd be like Jed Clampett coming home for a family reunion.
I don't make a lot (more than most tho in my area, but not even close to 6 figures). But because of my upbringing and being able to avoid lifestyle creep, I have a very good buffer and don't stress about bills piling up.
So instead I stress when my buffer is low.
I freak out if emergency savings is less than 5 digits, I imagine for the really wealthy, it's the same just a higher number.
They might not stress about keeping the lights on, but they stress when their "high score" drops. It's just how human brains work. There's human variation, but if someone doesn't have that mentality, they're not going to stay crazy wealthy.
Which is why the saying goes:
First generation makes wealth, second saves wealth, third wastes wealth.
Usually to prolong generational wealth longer than that, someone from the first or second generation has to protect it via trusts so their kids literally can't fuck it up but sometimes they still find a way
The "intensive" phase of Israel's offensive in Gaza will soon end, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Sunday — but he signaled he would only accept a "partial" cease-fire deal that would not end the war, and that this new phase would allow a shift in focus to the simmering conflict on the country's northern border with Lebanon.
According to Bibi...
And in the same breathe saying he doesn't want to end the war.
Bibi is facing calls from the left and right in his country to stop stalling the election. If an election happens, he's not going to win.
So he's going to keep this war going as long as possible. And is blatantly saying any slow down in Gaza would be to increase attacks on Lebanon.
It's literally the only thing keeping him in office, because war is his only excuse for not letting Israelis hold a vote.
I don't know why people keep acting like Israel's current government wants peace, they repeatedly keep saying that they don't.
The viability of a U.S.-backed proposal to wind down the 8-month-long war in Gaza was cast into doubt on Monday after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said he would only be willing to agree to a “partial” cease-fire deal that would not end the war, comments that sparked an uproar from families of hostages held by Hamas.
In an interview broadcast late Sunday on Israeli Channel 14, a conservative, pro-Netanyahu station, the Israeli leader said he was “prepared to make a partial deal -- this is no secret — that will return to us some of the people,” referring to the roughly 120 hostages still held in the Gaza Strip. “But we are committed to continuing the war after a pause, in order to complete the goal of eliminating Hamas. I’m not willing to give up on that.”
Netanyahu’s comments did not deviate dramatically from what he has said previously about his terms for a deal. But they come at a sensitive time as Israel and Hamas appear to be moving further apart over the latest cease-fire proposal, and they could represent another setback for mediators trying to end the war.
You deleted a comment I made because you said it was incivil (not going to repeat it, but it's in the modlog)
Was it because I pointed out that they were denying a genocide?
That's the only thing that was remotely personal, and if that breaks the rules is it acceptable to instead just link sources explaining how Israel is committing a genocide?
Genocidal denial is just a pretty big deal in my eyes, so I want to know how mods are ok with addressing it. I felt that I was following the sidebar by commenting on the argument and not the user, but apparently I misunderstood something.
I wouldn't have mentioned it, by their comment denying genocide is literally just a few comments down this chain...
At least someone is acting rationally about how Israel's actions could lead to WW3
Brown said the U.S. continues to talk with Israeli leaders and warn against widening the conflict. He said a key message is “to think about the second order of effect of any type of operation into Lebanon, and how that might play out and how it impacts not just the region, but how it impacts our forces in regions as well.”
Pentagon officials have said that Austin has also raised concerns about a broader conflict when he spoke to Gallant in a recent phone call.
“Given the amount of rocket fire we’ve seen going from both sides of the border, we’ve certainly been concerned about that situation, and both publicly and privately have been urging all parties to restore calm along that border, and again, to seek a diplomatic solution,” said Maj. Gen. Pat Ryder, the Pentagon press secretary, last week.
Just a shower thought. Seeing how these structures took decades to build in their times, and that too entirely with manual labour, I was wondering how long these architectural marvels would take to be built in this post modern era with the help of our technological advancements....
I don't believe that, and since it's impossible to show evidence something doesn't exist, the people claiming evidence Jesus existed is gonna have to do some linking...
that’s not the standard
You mean evidence?
Evidence isn't the standard for things existing?
What exactly is the standard in your mind for whether a historical figure existed?
I listed all the steps next to numbers so you could easily identify what you needed help with.
It's starting to feel like you're not being honest about why you feel like Biden has to be the nominee. Like there's one position Biden holds and if we ran a candidate Dem voters want, the popular candidate likely wouldn't hold that specific opinion.
I honestly thought I could help, but I don't think there's a way if you're not being honest.
By all logic, we would be on the same page right now if all you wanted was to beat trump.
News alert, they don’t give a fuck about you or what you think.
That's not news...
Biden appointed Jamie Harrison as head of the DNC.
The DNC took away NH' s primary delegates because they keep voting progressive.
It's blatantly obvious the DNC and Biden dont care what voters want and despite what they say are not doing all they can to prevent trump. That's literally what you called me an idiot for and started this whole long chain
..
I legitimately don't understand why you're upset at me for any of this unless you're not being honest about why you want Biden and not a candidate more likely to beat Trump.
Why are you, Biden. And the DNC willing to risk trump?
I’m asking if you believe no other president would support Israel more than Biden
Exactly.
Pretty much every other president from either party has had to put Israel in place at least once during their time in office.
trump is corrupt enough to support anything, but he's unreliable. If you need him his price keeps going up till you can't afford him. No one can rely on trump, I feel like I won't get push ack on that.
There’s a lot of potential presidents in America.
We're not talking potential, we're talking actual US Presidents, there's a finate number of them...
I'm saying if Israel didn't have unconditional support from America, they wouldn't be causing so much drama.
They're the bully that picks on kids when the teacher is in the room, knowing the teacher will always take their side.
Biden is the teacher letting it happen.
Except in this scenario the bullying is a fucking genocide.
And you're blaming another kid for standing up to the bully, and can't figure out why the teachers actions are a problem. Is it Biden's fault Israel is a bully? No, but it's his fault the bully gets to do whatever they want, and is acting like it
I'm sorry I can't explain this in a way you can understand, but I don't think I'm the real issue here. If you won't read what I typed and ask about what you can't understand I can't help you.
Instead, they said Biden has noted, Obama publicly admonished Israel’s actions and voiced concern for Palestinian civilian deaths early into the 2014 conflict. As a result, Biden has argued, Obama squandered any ability to influence the Israeli government as it invaded Gaza, said the people familiar with his comments.
US Navy nuclear ballistic missile submarine surfaces off Norway in unusual flex as 'Doomsday' plane flies overhead ( www.businessinsider.com )
A US Navy nuclear-powered ballistic-missile submarine surfaced in the Norwegian Sea....
Looking to federalize a social media site I made. I'd give everyone a version with full content moderation tools, and operational trade secrets for server sizing/scaling.
I have a decent website I've been working on. It has some neat features that are still being developed....
NBC to use AI-generated version of Al Michaels' voice during Summer Olympics ( www.nbcnews.com )
Pyongyang Says It Will Send Support Troops to Ukraine Within a Month ( www.kyivpost.com )
UN tells Israel it will suspend aid operations across Gaza without improved safety, UN officials say ( apnews.com )
Why the heck aren't all the "old" series/movies available to buy anywhere?
I understand if they stopped printing new blu rays / DVDs, but it’s outrageous and disappointing I can’t just buy the digital edition....
President Joe Biden ‘appalled’ by violence during pro-Palestinian protest at Los Angeles synagogue ( apnews.com )
Exclusive: Israeli documents show expansive government effort to shape US discourse around Gaza war ( www.theguardian.com )
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Intense phase of Israel's war with Hamas about to end, Netanyahu says ( www.nbcnews.com )
Netanyahu says he won’t agree to a deal that ends the war in Gaza, testing the latest truce proposal ( apnews.com )
An Israel offensive into Lebanon risks an Iranian military response, top US military leader says ( apnews.com )
How long would it take to create a Pyramid today?
Just a shower thought. Seeing how these structures took decades to build in their times, and that too entirely with manual labour, I was wondering how long these architectural marvels would take to be built in this post modern era with the help of our technological advancements....
Is there any real physical proof that Jesus christ ever existed?
Thousands of Iran-backed fighters offer to join Hezbollah in its fight against Israel ( apnews.com )