anachronist

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anachronist ,

Anyone have the experience of starting listening to folk music on spotify and suddenly you realize the algo walked you over to Rhodesian songs?

anachronist ,

Honestly this seems like a way to back-door inject another $800 million into the failing starship program.

anachronist ,

The space station's orbit has been adjusted continuously over its lifetime initially by attaching a shuttle to it and doing a burn of the shuttle's engines and later doing the same with progress modules.

My bet is the original expectation of the designers was to deorbit by attaching centaurs (or whatever) to the existing docking ports and rotate the beast to the right attitude for a deorbit burn.

NASA has more recently said they want the reentry to be as steep as possible to minimize the size of the debris field, and is using that to justify the development of a new specialized deorbit vehicle. No doubt SpaceX will declare that Starship is the proper vehicle for this, and then will plow the $800 million into the Starship program. The money they got for Artemus is already long gone and Starship has failed to demonstrate key components of the Artemus plan. Dear Moon has been cancelled so NASA and Artemus are the only customers they have left. NASA knows that without a cash injection Artemus is at risk.

anachronist ,

baby murdering killers

As opposed to Israel?

Canadian Home Prices "Need" To Be High To Pay For Retirements: PM - Better Dwelling ( betterdwelling.com )

Canadian real estate prices have surged in almost every market, with a typical home price doubling in many regions. A median household in major cities like Toronto and Vancouver would need to save over 20 years for just the down payment, more than 3x the historic average. Seems absurd? The outlandish scenario was apparently a...

anachronist ,

This is true. The idea that housing-as-asset is a gift to middle-class elderly is a false promise. The middle class elderly will have all their assets stripped by the old-age industry regardless of how their home appreciated while they owned it.

anachronist ,

Yeah they were attempts to either fool the Javelin's sensor and make it fly too high or serve as improvised spaced armor to reduce the effectiveness of its HEAT round. FPV drones have much smaller HEAT rounds and a lot less kinetic energy so improvised spaced armor may be more effective.

"Cope cages" to describe improvised armor was always propaganda though. US soldiers in Iraq put improvised armor on their humvees to protect against IEDs. In WWII solders piled sandbags and spare tracks on their tanks (you can see many pictures of tanks like this). Field improvised armor is as old as warfare. Often it was not effective. For instance, tank designers in WWII thought that improvised armor reduced the chance of a ricochet, which was a serious problem with the era's AP rounds that saved a lot of tankers. Improvised armor gave the AP round something to "grab ahold of" and aid penetration.

anachronist ,

Look up "interurban railways". Most towns east of the Mississippi used to have frequent rail service with whistle stops at every farm and crossroads. In addition to passengers these railroads also transported the harvest, Sears purchases, kit houses, even hearses!

anachronist ,

Spite and pettiness seem like a poor way to run a business but what do I know? I'm just a guy who's gotten zero starships successfully to orbit.

anachronist , (edited )

Yeah that was the joke. 🙃

Edit: Also none have made it to orbit or even near orbit. They initially claimed that the third one made it to the non-circularized suborbit they had planned, but later analysis was that it did not actually reach the planned velocity:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fQ03eVRgiZ4

anachronist ,

Which part of the video is wrong? The fact is that it failed to reach planned velocity. This is public record. If it did not reach planned velocity then it did not reach the non-circualized suborbit that they intended. They were not "just a circulization away from orbit."

The CSS channel was created when Musk and Shotwell were making bonkers claims about their Mars plans, as well as other crazy bullshit like the suborbital rocket airline stuff. The point of CSS is that none of their claims pencil out if you do even basic math, and they proved that by doing the math. They've also gone after other space grifters like orbital assembly.

anachronist ,

The planned goal of the mission was to achieve orbital velocity but not orbital trajectory. This was because they had not yet demonstrated the ability of their vac engines to relight in space. If they go into a stable orbit but can't relight they can not deorbit and they become space junk.

They initially claimed that this was a success (they achieved target velocity) but subsequent analysis was they were quite a bit off. Also because their engine relight test was failed/cancelled they will also not be allowed to attempt a stable orbit in IFT4. They have to demonstrate relight/deorbit capability before they will be allowed to attempt stable orbit.

anachronist ,

Google was already going downhill but when they fired Matt Cutts and replaced him with an advertising person was the point where it was obvious they weren't interested in search anymore.

anachronist ,

The appeal to google and friends is that it's even less obvious when you're being advertised to when a LLM tells you something than on their existing SERPs.

anachronist ,

Damn that was a cool song too...

anachronist ,

My favorite use of that song was in Candian Bacon when John Candy and friends were singing it while fillibustering in Canada, except they only know the refrain:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1bXzFY72wbs

anachronist ,

Interesting how most of the points about how "nobody wants to live here" boil down to the housing crisis.

It's a bit like that old joke about the trendy restaurant: "Nobody goes there anymore, it's too crowded!"

anachronist ,

I wanna see Sam Altman reenact the "make it work" mirror scene from always sunny.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kBXNa0ipFPQ

anachronist ,

A simple path forward, is to go from classifying single elements of training data, to classifying multiple elements and their relationship in the training data.

Training data already has multiple labels.

Slightly less simple, is to gather orders of magnitude more data, by just hooking the input to an IRL robot.

An entire point of the paper and video is that massive increases in training set size are showing diminishing returns.

Another step, is for the NN to control the robot and decide which parts of the data require refinement, and focus on that.

🤡

anachronist ,

Alternate theory we'll look back the same way we looked back on the claims that IBM watson was intelligent, or the claims in the 60s, 70s, 80s, 90s, 2000s, 2010s, that <insert technology x> was going to make computers truly intelligent.

anachronist ,

Pretty crazy to think that it is actually not sure whether spending less than 500k on a supercomputer is worth it.

Has more to do with the market for supercomputers. They are monsters to keep fed so it's not a question of if you can buy it but rather if you can run it. But customers for supercomputers are in the market because they need the most raw power that the technology is capable of supplying, so buying and installing a decade old supercomputer (which is going to have the same operating costs at a lower capability than a new one) doesn't make sense.

You also have to consider that the downtime's going to be a lot higher on this equipment as you're going to start having components hit the end of their useful life.

anachronist ,

The biggest con is the industry's war to make Kei trucks illegal in the US.

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