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Espiritdescali

@Espiritdescali@futurology.today

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Espiritdescali OP Mod ,
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XPrize Foundation founder Peter Diamandis predicts that millions or even billions of robots that look and move like people could integrate into consumers' homes and workplaces, thanks to technological breakthroughs including artificial intelligence and a looming labor shortage. The market for these robots could hit $150 billion by 2035 and as much as $3 trillion by 2050, according to figures cited by Diamandis.

"It's only now, driven by major advances in sensors and actuators, battery technologies and artificial intelligence, that a new generation of useful and affordable robotic labor is within reach," Diamandis wrote in a recent blog post.

Recent advancements in generative AI, the technology that enables applications like ChatGPT, have taken the world by storm. Generative AI "magnifies a robot's adaptability," Damandis writes, by using "reinforcement learning" combined with decision-making algorithms. Plus, robots have the potential to instantaneously share learned skills with others in their network--something humans cannot do.

The market for these robots could be huge. In a 2022 report, Goldman Sachs predicted the market value of humanoid robots in a "blue sky scenario" could hit as much as $154 billion by 2035. Cathie Wood, founder and CEO of investment management firm Ark Invest, sets the bar even higher, at $1 trillion by 2030. Financial services company Macquarie, meanwhile, anticipates a whopping $3 trillion market for humanoid robots by 2050.

Diamandis extolled the utility of a humanoid robot laboror who "operates 24/7, who doesn't need drug testing, and doesn't call in sick from a fight with their boyfriend or girlfriend," in a recent conversation with Inc.

Light detection and ranging sensors, or LiDAR, is the technology that gives sight to autonomous vehicles--and could do the same for humanoid robots. It works by rapidly firing a laser off of surrounding objects, then using a sensor to measure the length of time it takes for the light to travel out and bounce back, according to the National Ecological Observatory Network. These measurements, used for mapping out surroundings, help robots navigate, according to San Jose, California-based LiDAR company Velodyne Lidar. The size and cost of LiDAR units have shrunk 1,000 times and 100 times, respectively, Diamandis writes, making the technology more accessible.

Driving the demand for humanoid robots is a looming labor shortage as Baby Boomers head into retirement with fewer young workers to replace them, Diamandis notes. This could work to the advantage of workers as robots replace less desirable jobs in industries like manufacturing and agriculture. But more than industry is behind Macquarie's massive market predictions. Wendy Pan, an analyst for Macquarie Research in Japan, sees humanoid robots as the next logical step in a long line of technological advances.

"The car helped to shorten people's commute time. I see the purpose as similar for humanoid robots: to shorten people's time spent on housework, making people's lives easier and more convenient," writes Pan.

Diamandis isn't alone in his sentiments. Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates and Tesla CEO Elon Musk are among the big names bullish about humanoid robots.

Espiritdescali Mod ,
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The Limits to Growth 2023 update says that we arlready near the peak

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Limits_to_Growth#/media/File:Limits-to-growth-figure-35.svg

Espiritdescali Mod ,
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I can see the rich pouring money into this tech to grow organs for themselves. The clones would need to be segregated though, as otherwise there might be issues with property rights etc. They could be put on an island, the rich have a few spare I'm sure. We could tell the clones that the rest of the world was too damaged for humans to live there. It would need to be hidden perhaps as there would be moral outrage if it was discovered the clones were intended to have organs harvested from them. God help then if one of the clones escapes though.

Wait, no, thats the plot to The Island with Ewan McGregor... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Island_(2005_film)

Espiritdescali Mod ,
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The problem in my mind is that all the solar panels and wind turbines are being built with fossil fuels, causing even more demand which the oil companies are only happy to fulfil. We need to reduce the amount of energy we use somehow, whilst still maintaining our level of civilisation.

Espiritdescali OP Mod ,
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It’s not cost effective to stop the collapse of civilisation ...

Espiritdescali Mod ,
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We have now upgraded to Lemmy 19.3 and there should no longer be any issues with 2FA

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